ASRA is pleased to host Prof. Thomas “Tad” Homer-Dixon for a presentation and discussion about the findings of Cascade Institute’s Polycrisis Core Model (PCM), a system-of-systems analysis of our global future.
The PCM explores millions of possible outcomes for humanity in 2040, identifying three stable scenarios: Illiberal Decline, Mad Max, and small but stable Hope Attractor. Don’t miss this timely and important conversation about pathways out of today’s entangled crises toward a more democratic, innovative, and sustainable future. Register here by Monday, 3 November to secure your place.
Event details:
- Title: Mapping the Hope Attractor: A Conversation with Thomas Homer-Dixon on the results of the Polycrisis Core Model
- Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
- Time: 9.00 PST / 12.00 EST / 18.00 CET / 20.00 EAT
- Format: Interactive webinar with Q&A
About: Thomas Homer-Dixon is founder and Executive Director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in Victoria, British Columbia. Born in Victoria, British Columbia, he received his BA in political science from Carleton University and, in 1989, his PhD from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in international relations, defense policy, and conflict theory. For nearly two decades, he directed the Centre for Peace and Conflict Studies at the University of Toronto; in 2008 he joined the faculty at the University of Waterloo, where he founded the Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation. Considered among the world’s leading experts on the intricate links between nature, technology, and society, his current research focuses on threats to global security in the twenty-first century, including economic instability, climate change, and nationalist authoritarianism and on how people, organizations, and societies can better solve complex problems. He is a best-selling author and his award-winning books include The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization and The Ingenuity Gap: Can We Solve the Problems of the Future?; and Environment, Scarcity, and Violence. His latest book is: Commanding Hope: The Power We Have to Renew a World in Peril.
The Cascade Institute is a Canadian research centre at Royal Roads University, in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. It addresses the full range of humanity’s converging environmental, economic, political, technological, and health crises. Outstanding complex-systems scientists, including experts in rapid change in social and cultural systems, conduct the Institute’s research. Working in small, nimble teams and guided by two core scientific premises, they produce applied, actionable knowledge at speed.