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Phil Tovey

The Rethink | Letting go of certainty offers a new way to tackle global crises

Q1: The idea of a "triple planetary crisis"—climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution—presents some tough challenges. What do you think are the biggest governance issues when these three crises overlap? The biggest governance…

27 March 2025

Journal paper: Navigating systemic risks in low-carbon energy transitions in an era of global polycrisis

Authors: Ashwin K. Seshadri, Ajay Gambhir, and Ramit DebnathThe world experienced its hottest year on record in 2024. 150 unprecedented climate disasters inflicted devastation across the globe. Transitioning to low-carbon energy has never been more…

02 April 2025

The Rethink | Awakening the nature-centric mindset

Q1: Leading science-policy initiatives -- IPBES, IPCC, UNDP, etc --have established that governance approaches focused solely on technology, regulation, and economics are insufficient. Western society is trapped in the 'Consumer…

22 April 2025

Speaker Update: Christiana Figueres to Keynote 'Currents of Change' Symposium; Additional Leaders Confirmed

ASRA is proud to announce that Christiana Figueres, former Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), will deliver the headline address during the opening plenary session on Sunday, 8 June, at Currents…

24 April 2025

From Benches to Boardrooms: Responding to systemic risks

To guide this work, ASRA’s Systemic Risk Response (SRR) Working Group co-developed a comprehensive set of assessment criteria that is grounded in ASRA’s Principles for Systemic Risk Assessment and Response. These 14 criteria transform broad…

29 April 2025

The Rethink: Inequality—History's Great Villain

There is a lot that is new – and scary – in our modern world. We have seen an accelerating onslaught of crises across global economic, environmental, and socio-political systems; what commentators refer to as a polycrisis. At the same time, as…

15 May 2025

ASRA announces STEER: First-of-Its-Kind Tool to Assess Systemic Risks

PARIS, FRANCE – Sunday, 8 June 2025: At its flagship symposium, "Currents of Change: New Horizons in Systemic Risk," ASRA (the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment) today announced a demonstration version of STEER: Systemic Tool for…

08 June 2025

Imagining the Possible: New Responses to Systemic Risks

Shaped by the long arc of history and rooted in shared drivers and structural injustices, systemic risks bring with them compounding and cascading impacts that are increasingly difficult to predict. Yet they also offer a rare opportunity to…

05 June 2025

Systemic Risk in Development Finance, ASRA-IDB Partnership

ASRA and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) are working together to co-develop a flagship briefing paper that reframes risk for multilateral development banks (MDBs), demonstrating how a new approach to risk planning can unlock new pathways…

09 June 2025

Introducing STEER | Your entry point to systemic risk thinking and action

In today’s world, risks don’t exist in isolation. We live in a time of polycrisis, where risks cascade and compound across systems. STEER (Systemic Tool for Exploring and Evaluating Risks) is a first-of-its-kind tool designed to help individuals and…

10 June 2025

New paper in Nature Communications reveals critical gaps in global risk assessment

London, UK – 10.00am BST: ASRA (the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment) today announces the publication of a new paper in Nature Communications, titled "A systemic risk assessment methodological framework for the global polycrisis."…

14 August 2025

The Rethink: On the Risk of Bullshit

This essay attempts to rationalise current global shifts through a concept I term bullshit (BS) risk: whereby bullshit not only permeates and pollutes public discourse but becomes reality and policy, thereby generating systemic risks.In a celebrated…

18 August 2025

The Rethink: Why Multi-Stakeholder Governance is an Investor’s Early Warning System

In an era of mounting systemic threats, conventional approaches to risk assessment are proving inadequate. The problem for investors isn't just about better data or smarter models, it's about fundamentally rethinking how risks are…

10 September 2025

Mapping the Hope Attractor: In-conversation with Thomas Homer-Dixon

The PCM explores millions of possible outcomes for humanity in 2040, identifying three stable scenarios: Illiberal Decline, Mad Max, and small but stable Hope Attractor. Don’t miss this timely and important conversation about pathways out of today’s…

29 September 2025

Join our team as Research Analyst Nature-Centric Approaches

ASRA is seeking a Research Analyst to support the research and development of understanding, assessing and responding to systemic risk beyond human ways of knowing. We are looking for a highly innovative, autonomous, flexible and creative researcher…

01 October 2025

New STEER framework to help Governments upgrade National Risk Registers

PRESS RELEASE New STEER framework to help Governments upgrade National Risk Registers for a world of systemic risksTuesday, 14 October 2025: Policy teams in central government departments and specialized agencies, such as in civil protection and…

14 October 2025

Steering Beyond Silos: Interview with David Jácome Polit on systems thinking and better policy

To mark the launch of STEER, we spoke with David Jácome Polit, Head of the Resilient Development Program at ICLEI and former Metropolitan Director of Resilience for Quito. Drawing on his practice and policymaking experience, David explains how STEER…